Thursday, June 27, 2019

Previewing the Grizzlies Summer League - Gauging The Potential Of Simi Shittu

Shockwaves from the Grizzlies' 2019 draft reverberated throughout the NBA. The team's front office acquired Ja Morant with the second overall selection, and traded up to pair him with quick jump specialist Brandon Clarke, forming a formidable tandem. As a result, Grizzlies fans from far and wide have grown considerably more optimistic about the team's promising future. As the Grizzlies adapt to the current state of the league by transitioning from Grit N' Grind to a new 'Grit N' Motion' offense, they must bring in players with potential in the open floor. 

Simisola "Simi" Shittu qualifies as a raw, high upside big that can potentially thrive out in transition. Standing at a chiseled 6'10 (6.2% body fat at the combine), Simi possesses a unique handle, and can be effective attacking the basket. Relative to his size, he is surprisingly agile with the ball in his hands. Simi sports an effective Euro step, which projects to be deadly in one-on-one scenarios in summer league. At Vanderbilt, he regularly utilized this move, pulling the ball over his defender's head, and escaping past his man. Importantly, Simi will be able to cue fast breaks at the professional level, pushing the tempo with his outlet pass, or driving the ball up the floor himself. In terms of his handle, Simi must do a better job of protecting the ball when met with double teams. His handle is still relatively loose at this stage, and he could stand to tighten it up in some ways - refining the height of his dribble first and foremost. 

With that said, Simi was a mixed bag attacking the basket in his freshman season at Vanderbilt. Simi often initiated his rim runs from beyond the three point line (or bringing the ball up the floor in transition), as he would typically fake a hand off before opting to beat his man off the bounce. Because of his unique agility with the ball in his hands, Shittu was able to draw 5.4 fouls per 40 minutes, 6th best in the SEC. He did a nice job of initiating contact this season, but must work to avoid charging straight into his man at the next level. On the flip side, Simi struggled finishing at the rim, mostly because of his poor body control. Importantly, Simi must work on his 'contact balance', or ability to absorb contact (from the defender) and remain under control. At Vanderbilt, Simi was consistently thrown off his spot and opted to shoot extremely off balance scoop layups. Statistically, he shot a remarkably poor 49.6% from 2-point range (44% in conference play [as competition improved]), though most of his shots were taken close to the basket. With improved balance and better concentration, Simi would likely have been able to finish many of his shots at the rim with ease. Like many freshman, Simi seemed to play fast and often forced the issue when he was not receiving an appropriate number of post touches.

On the interior, Simi was effective as a back to the basket weapon, with a half hook and a quick drop step-spin move in his arsenal. He appeared most comfortable here and typically finished balanced, off two feet, contrasting his tendency to clumsily finish off one foot when driving the lane. He must continue to improve his lower body strength so that he can initiate his post moves quicker and closer to the rim. Importantly, Simi must fight for deep post position, working to seal his man on the block. Frustratingly, Simi's teammates failed to find him on countless possessions where he was open on the block, and this likely was a contributing factor in his decision to leave early. In terms of his ability to secure offensive rebounds, Simi did a poor job mixing it up inside on the offensive glass at Vanderbilt, and instead tended to float along the perimeter - where he was a non-threat.

With that said, Simi Shittu is a capable rebounder, with solid strength, a 7'1 wingspan, and decent box out fundamentals. While he was a below average presence on the glass at the offensive end, Simi habitually fought on the defensive glass, out-muscling more physical opponents and working to establish position. His 21.3% Defensive Rebounding % was the 5th best in the SEC this season. Once he secured a board, Simi would typically look to push the tempo, which is where his potential lies for the Grizzlies. All in all, Simi's rebounding ability should translate to the next level, though he must improve his assertiveness on the offensive glass.

In terms of his most glaring weakness, Simi's shot is no where near ready for a higher level of play. His 5.6% three point percentage (on 18 attempts) was abysmal at Vanderbilt, and he needs to work with player development coaches on his mechanics. His poor balance was also evident when he was forced to step into his shot or move beyond the three point line. Instead of pointing his toes in a staggered manner in the direction of the hoop, he occasionally fanned his left foot towards the scorer's table, leading to awful balance and poor lift for his jumper. Even when he did properly get his feet under him to shoot, he shot the ball on the way down from his jump. Optically, he also must work to make his shot more fluid and less mechanical. If he does not make significant strides in this area, defenders at the next level will slack off him and render him a non-threat. He must improve significantly here if he ever hopes to earn a shot at the NBA.

Despite this, Simi possesses unique potential as a passing big man. Operating mostly from the high post or beyond the three point line, Simi does a nice job of feeding both cutters and post weapons high-low. He has good vision when attacking the basket, and is often patient, drawing multiple defenders before hitting cutters. Simi needs to do a better job kicking the ball out along the perimeter, particularly towards the top of the key, when he draws defensive attention. This type of ball movement is a pivotal part of NBA offenses. While Garland's injury impacted the pace at which Vanderbilt played, it is clear that Simi would thrive passing the ball in an up tempo offense, as he did in his first contest against Winthrop.

On the defensive end of the ball, Simi improved considerably from his first college game. He still must grow as a rim protector, utilizing his length to contest shots in help defense, instead of sticking with his man and allowing easy layups. He possesses good fundamentals contesting without fouling at the rim, utilizing every bit of his 7'1 wingspan and displaying remarkable verticality, which altered many shots last year. Also, Simi does an excellent job contesting three point shooters without fouling. He often disrupts opposing offenses by getting his hands in passing lanes and deflecting the ball. Despite this, Simi was surprisingly unproductive on the defensive end of the floor at Vanderbilt, posting a 2.0% block rate, good for 39th best in the SEC. Simi tends to get beat on switches and must improve his defense in space, particularly out of pick and roll sets. He tends to float in no man's land at times, which will allow for easy jumpers and/or layups at the next level. While Simi must still remember to stay in his defensive stance, especially along the perimeter, he improved considerably here by the time conference play started. Simi also was much more vocal on the defensive end towards the back half of the season, and this was clearly reflected in his team's hotly contested overtime battle with in-state rival Tennessee at home. 

Overall, at 19 years old, Simi Shittu is still young enough to develop his game, and must utilize his opportunity in summer league to build on his freshman year. If he refines his shot, improves his balance, and learns to properly defend pick and roll sets, Simi has a shot. Otherwise, as Fran Fraschilla famously put it, he is "two years away from being two years away." 


(Photos courtesy of insidehalton.com and anchorofgold.com)

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Previewing the Grizzlies Summer League - Intriguing Stretch Four Lyle Hexom

Shockwaves from the Grizzlies' 2019 draft reverberated throughout the NBA. The team's front office acquired Ja Morant with the second overall selection, and traded up to pair him with quick jump specialist Brandon Clarke, forming a formidable tandem. As a result, Grizzlies fans from far and wide have grown considerably more optimistic about the team's promising future. But, as the Grizzlies adapt to the current state of the league by transitioning from Grit N' Grind to a new 'Grit N' Motion' offense, they must still address what plagued them during their playoff runs: a lack of viable three point shooting. 

6'8 summer league invite and Peru State (NAIA) grad, Lyle Hexom, certainly can fill this void. This non-DI standout is the consummate stretch big, connecting on 42.9% of his 259 attempts from three point range last season. He sports a sweet stroke (compact and quick) with a high enough release point to shoot over the top of most perimeter defenders at the next level. He typically gets his shot off the catch, but can shot fake and step into his shot as well. At Peru St, he incorporated this shooting within the flow of the team's offense, and has deep NBA range.   

Consequently, Hexom's most defining feature and what makes him a verifiable NBA prospect at this stage is his proficiency operating in the pick and roll. Hexom utilized his solid upper body strength to set hard picks, either out of pick and roll sets or for his teammates cutting back door. Considering that Hexom is extremely light/quick on his feet, he is very nimble operating as a roll man, and does a nice job of gaining separation when darting to the basket. He slips screens incredibly well. This is an elite aspect of his game. If he is overplayed, Hexom does a nice job of reading the situation and fading to the perimeter, where he makes defenses pay with his dead eye accuracy from distance. Thus, he was remarkably effective operating on the perimeter for Peru State. When he decided to cut inside, Hexom finished with finesse at the rim, but has the run-jump athleticism to throw down dunks over his opponents as well. 

While he functioned predominantly as a stretch, Hexom was effective inside when he decided to go down there. He moved well without the ball, which led to some easy finishes around the rim. As a post man, Hexom demonstrated some quick spin moves on the block and was able to get by quicker/smaller defenders with ease. He did not take too long to let the play develop when operating in the post, a common tendency for bigger players at the NAIA level. While he was able to score as a back to the basket option at Peru State (with a nice jump hook in his arsenal), he does not possess the lower body strength to hold/establish deep post position on the block at the next level. Instead, he will likely operate as a faceup player, which was one of his greatest strengths this past year. With that said, he must continue to develop his handle so that he is not stripped at the next level. More than likely, though, Hexom will operate mainly along the perimeter in summer league and professionally moving forward, opting to post up only on rare occasions. 

Although he posted an abysmal 0.68-to-1 assist to turnover ratio, Hexom is a decent passer, particularly to cutters in the lane. He is capable feeding the post, but does still have a tendency to throw chest passes, which are more readily picked off. It is important to remember that Hexom's handle is still underdeveloped, despite the fact that he spent considerable time playing along the perimeter. Also, when handling up top, Hexom tended to focus on getting his shot off, rather than creating for his teammates. He needs to be stronger with the ball when met with double teams, but his basic vision passing out of traps/double downs should translate.   

In terms of his rebounding prowess, Hexom did a nice job of corralling loose balls for Peru St., particularly on the defensive glass. He was physical and utilized his solid length and leaping ability to track down boards, to the tune of over 8 drpg. Hexom was also effective on the offensive glass at the NAIA level when he opted to do so, but was not always assertive crashing the glass on the offensive end (~20% of his rebounds), instead choosing to float along the perimeter. He needs to display a better motor following up misses and not just running back on defense. While he does have a good nose for the ball, Hexom must fight harder to obtain post positioning and use better fundamentals boxing out, if he hopes to make an impact on the glass at the next level. At Peru St, he relied extensively on his size and athleticism to get the job done. 

The defensive end, however, is where Hexom will have to make the most strides in order to stick at the NBA level. Despite utilizing his length to be productive at the NAIA level with 2.38 blocks per game and 1.29 steals per game, Hexom still possesses notable flaws on this side of the ball. Most importantly, he lacks NBA-level lateral quickness and is too upright in his stance, allowing for perimeter players to drive right by him on switches. When the ball enters the post, he tended to concede deep post position to players with no business operating on the block. He needs to be more physical chesting his man outside. While he does occasionally contest with good verticality at the rim, Hexom is inconsistent in this regard and either allows his man to score, or swings his arms down. Importantly, Hexom is extremely foul prone and tends to reach, rather than defending with his body. While Hexom can get by as a 1 on 1 defender due to decent length, he must improve defending in space. At Peru St, he was not effective as a help defender at the rim, allowing some easy buckets at times. Further, he tended to slack off shooters and struggled chasing down perimeter players coming off of screens. When he does close out on shooters, he utilizes his excellent length to contest. 

All in all, while Hexom's defense will be a bit of an achilles heel at the next level, he is an elite pick and roll player with a sweet shooting stroke that could catch on in summer league and beyond.   


(Photos courtesy of pscbobcats.com and omaha.com)

Thursday, June 20, 2019

The Case for 'Didi' Louzada: The Perfect Answer to an Imperfect Trade

While yesterday's Mike Conley deal did not net a commensurate return in terms of available young assets (due to protections, the second 1st round pick in this trade will likely convey in 2022), the Jazz did send their #23 pick as part of the deal (or more technically, they will select for the Grizzlies at this spot), which places the rebuilding Grizzlies firmly in a position to pick up some young talent. And, no player is flying further under the radar than Brazil's 19-year old phenom, Marcos 'Didi' Louzada.

This past season, Louzada was arguably the most talented youth in Brazil's domestic league, the NBB. Not a traditional powerhouse, his team - Franca - powered all the way to the final, only to lose to Anderson Varejao's Flamengo squad. And Didi was a pivotal part of this success. 

In final's action, Didi did not receive significant minutes for the first half of this series. But, by the fifth and final game, he not only saw significant playing time, but was his team's leading scorer throughout most of the contest. Unfortunately, Didi hyperextended his elbow and was forced to leave part way through the game. Still, his performance in the NBB playoffs highlighted his strengths and weaknesses on both ends of the floor.

Most importantly, Didi Louzada projects as a ballhawk at the next level. He was the most impressive defensive player that I witnessed in the NBB, boasting elite lateral quickness, which places him in rare company in the 2019 draft class. While still somewhat unrefined, Didi Louzada's defensive instincts, activity, vocal approach, and overall tenacity lead me to believe that he can develop into a lockdown wing at the NBA level. When examining film, the most evident thing that jumps out is Louzada's lateral quickness and ability to track his man. All season long, while defending on the perimeter, Didi was glued to his man's hip. He fought hard over the top of screens and regularly shadowed his man, limiting the effectiveness of both rub screens and pin downs. Didi is a willing help defender and regularly switches or leaves his man to defend the ball at the rim. He possesses quick and active hands, getting low in his stance and regularly stripping the ball without fouling. 

With that said, he has a tendency to over-help at times, and this is particularly evident against strong side three point shooters. Louzada has a tendency of doubling offensive players attacking the rim, which leaves some perimeter shooters open on the strong side. Due to his elite quickness, Didi is often able to recover back to his man. But, this will not always be the case at the NBA level. Additionally, he does struggle at times to defend stronger players who are able to create space against him. Flamengo's Marquinhos, for example, often got the better of him by creating space and connecting on balanced jump shots. Given his innate ability to track and recover on offensive players, Didi must do a better job of selling push offs. In terms of closing out on shooters, Didi does an excellent job of extending his arm at the right moment when closing out on three pointers. With that said, he must be careful when contesting these shots at the next level, as players will draw a foul from beyond the arc if Didi extends his arm too early. Under the tutelage of NBA coaches, coupled with elite strength and conditioning programs, Didi should make these adjustments rather easily. 

On the offensive end, Didi is mainly a three point shooter with a high basketball IQ. Though he is somewhat streaky, Louzada shot 42.7% on his 7.3 3 pt attempts per 40 minutes, due in large part to his consistent mechanics. While he does not sport the most fluid looking stroke - failing to release the ball at its apex and maintaining a very slight hitch - his shot was effective for most of the season. Didi is capable shooting off the catch or off the dribble, though the vast majority of his three point shots came off drive and kick plays. Additionally, the vast majority of the three point attempts that I witnessed were uncontested and a result of dribble penetration in Franca's four-out sets. As a result, I believe that Louzada still has room to improve as a shooter, though I expect him to excel shooting corner threes the second he enters the league. Didi must also develop more of a mid range game in the NBA, if he hopes to keep defenses honest. In terms of his post moves, Didi had been able to back down his man at the NBB level, before implementing a textbook drop step and finish. I do not believe that this will translate to the next level, however.  

In terms of his ability to attack the basket, Didi possesses a very quick first step. He is an excellent athlete with the requisite creativity to avoid defenders and streak to the basket, finishing with exceptional hangtime. When getting downhill, Louzada's Euro step is deadly, and he is creative enough to finish at the summit. While he thrived attacking the rim at the NBB level, he will need to make some adjustments if he hopes to experience the same level of success in the NBA. To do so, he must first fine tune his handle, which is rather rudimentary at this stage. Importantly, he has not mastered any hesitation moves to keep defenses off balance simply because he has always been able to beat his man with a quick first step. Additionally, though his dribble is fairly high off the ground, Didi does an excellent job of shielding the ball, rarely turning it over. He must make adjustments here, though, if he hopes to be effective against NBA traps and double teams.   

While Didi's elite tools give me confidence that he can develop as a slasher at the next level, his inability to finish through contact at the rim is still concerning. Importantly, Didi's play must be examined in the context of his four-out offense. Most of the film on Louzada shows that he rarely was met with a secondary defender at the rim after beating his man off the dribble, due in large part to his team's spacing. Given the fact that most of Franca's bigs were capable shooters on the perimeter, opposing defenses were rarely able to help on Didi. Thus, he often had one man to beat before scoring at the rim. This will change at the NBA level, where interior players possess far superior lateral quickness and rim protection. With that said, I believe that with improved strength and concentration, Louzada will be able to make significant strides in this area at the next level. 

With regard to his basketball IQ, Didi's strong floor vision was masked by Franca's static four-out offense. Their sets featured limited movement off the ball, and as a result, Louzada was not able to showcase his elite vision hitting cutters - something that defined his play at the Nike Hoops Summit. To put this offense into context, a favorable comparison might be the Houston Rockets when Harden opts to go one on one, rather than utilizing pick and roll sets. Within the context of Franca's system, Didi did an excellent job spacing the floor and occasionally fed the post or hit cutters when met with a double team. Set apart from the context of his NBB offense at the Nike Hoops Summit, Louzada was extremely unselfish (often too unselfish) facilitating for his teammates, and demonstrated his knack for seeing plays before they developed. He consistently hit the roll man and did this before hunting his own shot. While he still must fine tune his handle, Didi Louzada should develop into an effective pick and roll player at the NBA level, due to his exceptional vision and quickness. 

Ultimately, Didi's willingness to move without the ball and facilitate for his teammates makes him the perfect complement for master floor general Ja Morant in the Grizzlies' newly minted up tempo offense. Importantly, Didi is very effective in transition, and most assuredly Morant will push the pace. Further, given his elite athleticism and attention to detail boxing out, Didi Louzada is an effective rebounder who can leak out in transition. All in all, 6'6 Marcos Louzada is a special athlete who already spaces the floor and defends. While I have read some reports suggesting Didi is a decent draft-and-stash candidate, I do not believe that his skillset is best suited to develop in Europe. Didi's speed and athleticism will be most valuable in an up tempo offense. And, in order to ultimately reach his potential, Didi must become more effective in pick and roll sets, which are commonplace in the NBA. Importantly, it should be noted that Didi has received limited fanfare largely because Franca continued to play into June, and it is possible that he has slipped under the radar, given that he only recently started working out for NBA teams. Do not let the lack of buzz fool you: Marcos Louzada is the steal of the 2019 draft and should be the Memphis Grizzlies' selection at 23.           



Images Courtesy of: Basquete de Franca, FIBA Basketball
      

Monday, April 8, 2019

Portsmouth Invitational Tournament (PIT) Preview

With the college basketball season coming to a close, the Portsmouth Invitational Tournament (PIT) is underway in less than a week.

According to news and social media outlets, the following players have received invites:

John Konchar 6'5 IPFW
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Justin Wright-Foreman 6'2 Hofstra
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Alex Robinson 6'1 TCU
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JaKeenan Gant 6'8 Louisiana Lafayette
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Jordan Murphy 6'7 Minnesota
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Sandy Cohen III 6'6 Wisconsin Green Bay
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Jeremiah Martin 6'3 Memphis
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Shizz Alston Jr. 6'4 Temple
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Jalen Adams 6'3 UConn
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Chris Clemons 5'9 Campbell
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CJ Massinburg 6'3 Buffalo
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Fletcher Magee 6'4 Wofford
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Jessie Govan 6'10 Georgetown
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Elijah Thomas 6'9 Clemson
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Juwan Morgan 6'8 Indiana
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B.J. Stith 6'5 Old Dominion
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Marial Shayok 6'6 Iowa State
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Nick Weiler-Babb 6'5 Iowa State
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James Thompson IV 6'10 Eastern Michigan
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Garrison Mathews 6'5 Lipscomb
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Quinndary Weatherspoon 6'4 Mississippi State
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Aric Holman 6'10 Mississippi State
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Chris Silva 6'9 South Carolina
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Terence Davis 6'4 Ole Miss
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Kyle Alexander 6'11 Tennessee
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Donta Hall 6'9 Alabama
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4/12 Edit

James Palmer 6'6 Nebraska
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Matt Morgan 6'2 Cornell
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Jordon Varnado 6'6 Troy
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Tyler Hall 6'5 Montana State
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Torin Dorn 6'5 North Carolina State
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Cameron Young 6'6 Quinnipiac
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Tookie Brown 5'11 Georgia Southern
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Jordan Davis 6'2 Northern Colorado
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Markis McDuffie 6'8 Wichita State
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DaQuan Jeffries 6'5 Tulsa
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Justin Robinson 6'2 Virginia Tech
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Ahmed Hill 6'5 Virginia Tech
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Marcquise Reed 6'3 Clemson
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Terance Mann 6'7 Florida State
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Christ Koumadje 7'4 Florida State
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Jon Davis 6'2 Charlotte
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Thursday, March 21, 2019

The Big East's Trending Prospects


Despite what most are considering to be a “rebuilding” year for the Big East, this year’s Tournament was filled with a heightened sense of intrigue. While the final result – a third consecutive title for the reigning National Champion Villanova Wildcats – was hardly surprising given the team’s regular season accolades, Seton Hall never backed down and posed a formidable threat until the final buzzer sounded. Beyond Saturday’s matchup, though, other storylines, such as the ongoing St. John’s reclamation project, as well as the intriguing individual matchups (Markus Howard vs. Myles Powell), really captivated the Garden and kept decibel levels at a perpetual ‘roar’ throughout the tournament. Amidst all the hoopla, two players quietly differentiated themselves from the pack and boasted their NBA draft stock.     

Phil Booth – The Big East Tournament MVP earned his award with clutch play throughout the event. While Booth remains the definition of a combo guard at the next level, his diversified skillset should garner some looks during the NBA draft process. Standing at a solid 6’3, Booth is one of the more deadly one on one scorers in college basketball. While his first step is not exceptionally quick, Booth often beats defenders with his second gear, changing pace and accelerating past his man. This is particularly evident in transition, where Booth is extremely allusive, finding openings and ‘Euro stepping’ past defenders. Although Booth’s handle is exceptionally effective, he could stand to implement more crossovers and head fakes before putting the ball on the deck. Ultimately, when he decides to attack the rim, Booth is one of the more dynamic finishers in college basketball, with an array of finger rolls and floaters in his arsenal. He has an excellent feel for anticipating contact, and his combination of upper body strength and world class body control enable him to finish against any big man at the college level. This is supported by his 5.0 fouls drawn per 40 minutes, which ranked 8th in the Big East this season. Booth is fundamentally sound, though, and does not always take it all the way to the rim. He often stops, shot fakes, and gathers himself before shooting turnaround jumpers in close.        

If defenders slack off him in order to prevent the drive, Booth will make them pay with a balanced jump shot. In terms of his form, Booth gets solid lift on his jump shot and is able to alter his motion or kick out his feet in order to draw contact. While he was mostly a rhythm shooter early in his career, Phil Booth has made considerable strides in his senior season. He is capable shooting off the catch, but is most effective shooting a balanced jumper off the bounce. Phil can shoot off one foot in the lane or two. Ultimately, Booth does a nice job squaring to the rim and shooting over his opponent. His 36.7% 3 point % this season is about even with his shooting percentage a year ago, but the degree of difficulty and range evinced on many of his three point shots has increased considerably in 2018-19. Booth has extended his range well past the NBA line, and he nailed countless NBA three pointers at critical junctures throughout the Big East Tournament. Finally, though he is a wing, Booth is an extremely effective ‘post up’ option. Due to his considerable strength, he regularly backs his man down on the block and either nails a turnaround jumper or finishes through contact at the rim.

In addition to his diversified offensive skillset, Booth has made strides as a passer in his senior season. While he is not a true point guard by any stretch, Booth makes the right plays, creating for his teammates when he draws considerable defensive attention. He frequently moves the ball on the perimeter, and does a nice job targeting open shooters. His Assist Rate climbed to 24.7 this season, good for 7th in the Big East, and up from 16.6 a year ago. With that said, he must improve his decision making on out of bounds plays, where he is considerably turnover prone. All in all, despite shouldering a much more considerable portion of the offensive burden – taking 28.7% of his team’s shots compared to 18.0% the year before – and increasing the degree of difficulty on his shot attempts, Phil Booth has largely retained his offensive efficiency from a year ago. He has grown as a facilitator and his one on one basket drives account for a substantial portion of Villanova’s offensive output this year.

On the defensive end, Booth is as fundamentally sound as they come. He is a gritty, physical defender with a solid stance and a penchant for changing shots without fouling. While he does have good hands, Booth more often opts to move his feet rather than reaching, committing only 2.2 fouls per 40 minutes, 4th best in the Big East this season. In terms of his lateral quickness, Booth is about average, but he compensates for this by driving his offensive assignment into the help defense, where he is effective trapping the ball. Besides being undersized, Booth’s one glaring weakness on this end of the floor is his tendency to over-help down on the post, which often leads to kick out threes. Booth is also effective defending the post on switches, and possesses the lower body strength to ‘chest’ his man outside the block or force him into a tough shot. He has nice anticipation in the passing lanes as well, and possesses excellent ‘team defensive’ awareness, habitually informing teammates where they should be on the floor.
Overall, Phil Booth is a savvy defensive wing that boasts one of the more improved, diversified offensive games in college basketball. He should receive plenty of looks come draft time and has a real shot to do some damage once again in the NCAA tournament.



Myles Powell – The only player who has seen a higher degree of difficulty on his shot attempts than Phil Booth this season is Seton Hall’s do-it-all lead guard Myles Powell. At 6’2, Powell is a dynamic scoring threat with excellent screen and roll fundamentals and an even deadlier three point shot. In the same vein as former Seton Hall great Jeremy Hazell, Powell is a streaky shooter, who is extremely difficult to contain once he finds a shooting rhythm. While Powell shot a respectable 36.3% from long range this season, this number vastly understates how effective he is with his feet set in rhythm. Much like league-mate Markus Howard, Powell regularly catches fire from long distance and is difficult to contain. He possesses virtually unlimited range and needs very little room to get his shot off. Powell does an excellent job squaring his body to the basket and excels shooting quickly off the dribble. The threat of Powell’s long range shot opens up the rest of his game.

As a result of his shooting prowess, Powell is also dynamic attacking the basket, regularly creating contact and getting to the line. His 5.5 fouls drawn per 40 minutes, good for 5th in the Big East this season, supports this notion. In order to effectively slash to the hoop, Powell sports a solid handle. In addition to his quick first step, Powell employs an effective crossover and change-of-direction spin moves to attack the basket. Much like Booth, Powell possesses good body control at the rim and can finish through contact when met at the summit. His quick righty floater in the lane is extremely effective as well. Additionally, in keeping with his strong pick and roll fundamentals, Myles Powell is effective moving without the ball. He regularly frees himself for open jumpers coming off of screens and will cut to the hoop for easy lay-ins if he is overplayed.  

Unlike Booth, Powell is more of a threat facilitating for teammates, particularly in pick-and-roll scenarios, a quality which will intrigue scouts at the next level. He regularly finds cutters and is also effective kicking the ball out to three point shooters. This is supported by his 18.3 Assist Rate, 19th best in the Big East and up from 15.8 a year ago. Importantly, the entire Seton Hall offense has run through Powell all season long, and he is responsible for 31.0% of the team’s shots (54th highest usage by a single player in the country). His solid 54.5% effective field goal % (16th best in the Big East) is thus rather remarkable.

On the defensive side of the ball, Myles Powell had some of the quickest hands in the Big East this season and is also effective at staying in front of his man without fouling. Powell’s 3.22% steals % was 3rd best in the Big East and his 2.53 fouls committed per 40 minutes ranked 11th best in the conference. He sports a low stance and is effective at poking the ball away and deflecting it. With that said, Powell does not have the length to be much of a threat in passing lanes at the next level, but his decent anticipation and fundamentals should enable him to hold his own. All in all, Myles Powell is one of the Big East’s most dynamic offensive weapons and he will eventually get NBA looks when he is eligible for the draft a year from now.

   
(photos courtesy of si.com and Myles Powell Twitter)

Monday, May 2, 2016

Prospect Watch at the Portsmouth Invitational Tournament

Following its historic 64th year, the Portsmouth Invitational Tournament (PIT) remains a notable NBA pre-draft event, bringing together the likes of agents and NBA personnel to showcase some of the finest senior talent college basketball has to offer. Over the course of the event's extensive history, it has featured many notable alumni- Jimmy Butler, JaMychal Green, Kyle O'Quinn, and Robert Covington - are some of the more recent names.

Despite what most PIT spectators believed to be a down year in 2015, five players showcased at this event heard their names called last June. This certainly bodes well for the much deeper 2016 class, which featured standouts such as Iona’s A.J. English, Arizona’s Ryan Anderson, St. Joseph’s Isaiah Miles, VCU’s Melvin Johnson, Stephen F. Austin’s Thomas Walkup, Michigan State’s Matt Costello, and Virginia's Mike Tobey.

A.J. English, Iona – English was named the PIT’s Most Valuable Player, and for good reason: he led Roger Brown’s ferocious second half charge, which included a game tying tip in that evened the score and an interior feed that ultimately yielded a championship trophy. While English was dynamic in the second half of that contest, he was consistently productive throughout the tournament, displaying his diverse skillset and adaptability. Serving as a pass first lead guard, A.J. English showed that he can pick his spots offensively and make his teammates better. Importantly, English was dynamic in pick and roll scenarios, regularly connecting with teammate Ryan Anderson for pick and pop opportunities or for easy lay-ins. When overplayed, English was able to make his opponents pay, dialing in from distance. English is a strong shooter off the catch or off the dribble, and possesses NBA range.

In terms of his advanced skillset on this end of the floor, English’s handle enables him to get virtually anywhere he wants. And while he is quick with the ball in his hands, English boasts decent hesitation moves and a great touch on his floater, both of which really separated him from many of the point guards at this event. English possesses adequate vision for a lead guard and did an excellent job reversing the ball and shifting defenses at the PIT. While he clearly thrives in transition, English is also a strong passer in half court sets, feeding bigs in pick and roll scenarios or through targeted post entry feeds.

On the defensive end, A.J. is very productive, utilizing his pterodactyls-like 6’9 wingspan to wreak havoc on the opposition. English is able to get a hand in passing lanes and also does a nice job deflecting the ball away to teammates. He was one of the best shot blocking guards at the event as well. With the exception of the final game, where English was a bit overzealous on his closeouts – leading to a four point play followed by a three point foul – English did a nice job of contesting jump shooters. And while his lateral quickness proved to be respectable at the PIT, he needs to work harder fighting around screens to contest shooters. All in all, English likely solidified himself as a pick in this year’s draft, given his intriguing, diversified skillset.

Ryan Anderson, Arizona – English’s Roger Browns teammate, Ryan Anderson, also performed well at this event, showcasing a wide variety of skills scouts look for at the next level. Most importantly, Anderson demonstrated his effectiveness as a pick and roll option, reading defenses well and either slipping screens to the basket or fading for open mid range jumpers. When given an ounce of daylight, Anderson was particularly effective from just inside the arc, and generally stretched the defense. With that said, he will have to work on extending his range a bit at the next level, improving his efficiency from beyond the arc so that he can morph into a true stretch four [by today’s definition].

While he will likely function as a stretch four at the next level, Anderson’s versatile post repertoire was on full display at the PIT. Anderson was particularly effective as a faceup big, using his size and strength to bully his man at the rim. Despite his reputation for playing ‘soft’ dating back to his time at Boston College, he was anything but during his stay at the Portsmouth Invitational. If he saw an opening to attack the rim, he would use his body to create separation and finish at the basket. Anderson also utilized his lower body strength to back down his man and get as close to the bucket as possible before squaring up for a balanced shot. When at the rim, he is capable of finishing with either hand. In addition, when met with a double team, Anderson also demonstrated the ability (on several occasions) to connect on fadeaway jumpers out of the post.

Not only did he finish through considerable contact [most of which was not even called], but he also fought extremely hard on the glass. Anderson was fundamentally sound boxing out and was aggressive clearing space once he grabbed the loose ball. On the offensive glass, Anderson would wisely either kick the ball out for a full reset or finish through contact. On the defensive side, Anderson regularly looked ahead to teammates and his rebounds often led to run outs. Importantly, Anderson ran the floor very well at the PIT and possessed the vision to hit cutters in transition.

Along these lines, Anderson was also one of the better passing bigs at this event. He would regularly draw double teams and hit cutting wings or make sound bounce passes to fellow bigs Ibeh/Thomas inside. On the defensive end, Anderson projects as a below-the-rim positional defender at the next level. He did a nice job, at times, contesting without fouling in the post and seems to have a good sense of the principles of verticality. At this event, he was very good defending from the mid range and when tasked with one-on-one matchups. However, Anderson struggled a bit with his screen and roll defense, often over-hedging and allowing the roll man a clear path to the basket. This was particularly evident against Matt Costello in the championship game. All in all, Ryan Anderson cemented himself as one of the most diversified senior draft prospects and will certainly get more looks in the months to come despite getting snubbed by the Combine.

Isaiah Miles, St. Joseph’s – While he played on one of the worst teams at this event, no one flashed more offensive potential than Isaiah Miles at the PIT. First, it is worth mentioning that Miles’ physical profile looks the part of an NBA wing. Standing at a 6’8 and boasting a 6’9.5’’ wingspan, Miles possesses a very high release on his jumper and will have no difficulty shooting over the top of defenders at the next level. At the PIT, Miles connected from deep (mostly long two pointers) off the catch in pick-and-pop scenarios, but was also able to shoot off the dribble and coming off screens. While he only technically shot six three point attempts for the entire tournament, the majority of his shots were just inside the arc. He demonstrated that he does possess the extended range to connect from NBA three, hitting 50% of his shots from deep.


In virtually every contest at this event, the opposition did not have an answer closing out on Miles, but would work to deny him the ball. As such, Miles flashed a versatile skillset, opting to work out of the post, facing up and attacking his man off the dribble. Miles possesses a reliable go to hook shot when on the block, and can also hit turnaround jumpers out of the post. He flashed his potential in this respect by hitting a few difficult, turnaround fadeaways, which were eerily reminiscent of Kobe during his 60 point outpouring (which occurred right after the night games). While Miles had a tendency to stand around when the ball was not in his hands at this event, he showed that he can function as a basket cutter, readily beating his opponent to the rim on overplays. In terms of his ability to create his own shot attacking the basket, he could stand to tighten his handle and appeared a bit loose with the ball in transition. At this point, he is likely more of a slasher from the free throw line and in.

On the glass, it is clear that Miles utilizes his solid run-jump athleticism to clear the boards. While he did exert effort chasing down loose balls, at the next level, Miles is going to have to add strength to his frame and consistently box out in order to be an effective presence on the glass. On the defensive side of the ball, Miles possesses poor awareness, despite his good length and athleticism. Throughout the tournament, Miles’ energy level varied on the defensive end of the ball. While he was often able to force defenders out of bounds or deflect the ball with his length, Miles tended to miss help assignments and allowed quite a few layups. In addition, Miles made several highlight-reel blocks and finished second in the event with 2 bpg, but was often not able to corral the loose ball afterwards. In terms of his defensive technique, Miles was often too upright at times and tended to give jump shooters too much space. All in all, Miles is a tantalizing prospect with the offensive repertoire to make an impact on the NBA level, but look for scouts to try to gain a better understanding of his defensive limitations at the NBA Combine and beyond.

Melvin Johnson, VCU – In the same vein as VCU greats before him (such as last year’s MVP, Treveon Graham, who was in attendance), Johnson certainly left his mark at the PIT this year with heady offensive play and a rugged defensive mentality. The 6’4 combo guard played under control for most of the PIT and demonstrated that he is capable of creating shots for his teammates and running offensive sets. While he often split time alongside point guard Andrew Andrews, Johnson did a nice job executing pick and roll plays, finding cutters and moving the ball side to side, particularly in transition. And despite his shooting woes in the championship game, Johnson was generally able to make defenses pay when cheating under on screens. In the first two contests, he knocked down difficult three pointer shots off the dribble with ease. In addition, Johnson is quick with the ball in his hands and possesses the requisite strength/athleticism to finish through contact at the rim. He is extremely crafty with the ball in his hands, occasionally employing pass and shot fakes, and sports a dependable floater as well. Johnson also possesses a serviceable handle and occasionally employs the change of pace dribble to knock defenders off guard.

On the defensive side of the ball, Johnson is a ball hawk who fights over the top of screens. In his championship matchup, Johnson held MVP A.J. English in check for a while by closing out on his jump shots and physically challenging him. He does a nice job of fighting over screens and is a serviceable help defender. Johnson also has quick hands and decent lateral quickness. While he did not receive an invitation to the Combine, look for him to get plenty of workout opportunities to prove himself.


Additional Players Deserving Mention:


Thomas Walkup, Stephen F. Austin – While this recognition could have just as easily gone to fellow teammate Dyshawn Pierre, who shot lights out from three throughout the tournament, Walkup is the third member of Roger Browns’ squad that I will review. Walkup was a pivotal piece of his team’s equation, even if he did not receive the all-tournament accolades of English and Anderson. Walkup proved to be one of the best passers at this event, despite playing off the ball. He was most effective in screen and roll scenarios and demonstrated great awareness of cutters. Walkup did most of his work from the top of the key, and will have to do more with shifting the defense at the next level, as his screen and roll passes were overplayed in the championship game.

In terms of his offensive prowess, Walkup is a solid slasher with good body control, who is able to finish through considerable body contact. With that said, he is prone to straight line drives at this stage in his development, and often turns to overpowering his man on the block. As such, diversifying his slashing skillset by adding change of pace dribble moves will likely be a point of emphasis next season. And while Walkup is effective with his one dribble pullup jumper, he must work to become more efficient off the catch and more proficient from beyond the arc.

Defensively, Walkup was highly underrated at this event, despite his average/below average lateral quickness. Thomas Walkup is the consummate team defender and does a nice job closing out on jump shooters, playing under control and rarely getting fooled on shot fakes. He is also a savvy help defender and possesses good anticipatory instincts for where the ball is going to be next. On several possessions, he was able to recover to prevent shots at the rim. In addition, he has active hands as a man-to-man defender, deflecting the ball and disturbing the other team’s offensive flow. Walkup’s sheer physicality is also evident on the glass, where he does a nice job boxing out and obtaining solid position inside. The fact that he was one of the best rebounding guards at this event (5.0rpg), despite measuring 27.5’’ on his no step vertical and playing alongside Ryan Anderson and lengthy big Prince Ibeh (4.3rpg), speaks volumes to his sound fundamentals and tenacity going after the ball. Walkup’s performance at the PIT and dominant run against WVU in the NCAA tournament should earn him quite a few looks.


Matt Costello, Michigan State – Serving as the ultimate glue guy, Costello was one of the grittiest players at the entire event. He showed the best awareness of any big on pick and roll opportunities, frequently slipping screens and diving to the rim for easy layups. He did an excellent job freeing up his guards and has a nice understanding of when to set high ball screens and when to fight inside for post position. While he did not shoot the ball especially well at times, Costello’s mid range jumper proved serviceable enough to keep defenses honest. In terms of his passing ability, Costello was effective dishing the ball to teammates from the post.


He also collected the second most rebounds at the event (11.7rpg in three contests), behind only Ryan Anderson. On the glass, Costello was dominant in this setting, particularly against Roger Brown’s in the championship game. He is fundamentally sound using his body to create space and has a great nose for the ball. Costello’s tenacity on this end was underscored by his size differential with the lengthy Prince Ibeh, who he was matched up with at times. On the defensive end, Costello played with the same level of intensity throughout, denying post entry feeds to bigger players, working for interior position on the block, and deflecting the ball away from opponents. It also should be noted that Costello was capable closing out on jump shooters. Overall, Costello projects as a role player who could earn minutes based on his hustle and aggressiveness on the glass.


Mike Tobey, UVA – Much like Costello, Tobey unveiled a more versatile skillset than we were accustomed to seeing during his time at UVA. He functioned predominantly in the pick and roll at Portsmouth and proved to be serviceable in this capacity. Tobey possesses a high basketball IQ and did a nice job spacing the floor on pick and roll sets, often remaining outside so as to not crowd the paint. When given the ball on screen and fade opportunities, he appeared pretty comfortable from deep two-point range. He must work to extend his jumper at the next level to keep defenses honest and space the floor. In terms of his back to the basket game, Tobey uses his good size (7’0) and length (7’0.5’’) to either square up and shoot over the top of his defender or faceup and attack the rim. He possesses a reliable hook shot in the lane and is dangerous when he is able to secure deep post position. One concern at the next level could be his lack of lower body strength, as smaller players (GW’s Kevin Larsen for example) were occasionally able to outwork him for positioning on the block. With that said, he was generally strong with the ball. When he was able to successfully back his man down (and did not settle for a fadeaway jumper), Tobey was especially dangerous, as he does a nice job of finishing through contact and is also a willing passer out of double teams.

While Tobey could stand to further diversify his offensive game, his work on the glass really separated him from some of the other prospects in this tournament. Much like Anderson and Costello, Tobey was aggressive on the boards, employing excellent box out fundamentals and generally demonstrating a good ‘nose for the ball’. Tobey did a nice job of securing the ball with two hands and weeding out similarly sized big men. On the defensive end, Tobey possesses good awareness defending on pick and roll possessions, hedging well and at times cutting off quicker guards from attacking the basket. With that said, he must do a better job of guarding screen and fade plays, as he tended to either over-hedge or float in the paint and not close out on jump shooting bigs. While Tobey also does a good job of preventing the post entry feed, he must work harder to prevent his man from backing him down. Overall, though, Tobey is a good positional defender who compensates for his below average run-jump athleticism with decent help awareness. His stock certainly improved from his time at the PIT.



(Photos courtesy of NYCBuckets, arizonawildcats.com, Saint Joseph's Athletics, Around the Horns VCU Athletics, CBS Sports, mlive.com, and virginia.sportswar.com)

Sunday, December 6, 2015

Around the Nation (Part 1) - Dominez Burnett and Lawrence Jackson

In the "Around the Nation" segment, I explore prospects throughout the country, with a particular focus on non-D1 talent. In part 1, I feature two pro prospects from NAIA DII: reigning POY, Davenport's Dominez Burnett, and Northwestern Ohio product Lawrence Jackson. 

Dominez Burnett - The reigning POY nationally in NAIA DII is a special talent and could be the most promising prospect I have seen at this level of play. While he still possesses some flaws that will need to be addressed as he transitions to a professional level, the Flint native is one of the more naturally gifted athletes outside of DI and would likely stand out on a professional level. It should be noted that most of Dominez's points come attacking the basket. He is particularly gifted creating for himself and teammates off the dribble, and possesses an array of dribble drive moves and a crafty handle. Burnett sports a decently quick first step and is crafty maneuvering around defenders to the basket; in particular, he regularly employs a spin dribble move in the lane which tends to keep defenders off guard. While he is able to regularly avoid contact and craftily maneuver around his opponents, Burnett is often able to draw contact when meeting defenders at the summit. To put his foul drawing ability into context, his ~11.5 free throw attempts per game is one of the highest marks nationally. On the whole, Burnett's run-jump athleticism stands out from the pack and is likely on par with other highly rated pro players. In terms of his unselfishness, Burnett is a willing passer - he regularly kicks the ball out to an open big man when he gets deep in the lane and is adept at making pinpointed post entry feeds from either wing. While he often is able to exploit defenses himself, his assist-to-turnover ratio over 1-to-1 is impressive given his heavy usage in all facets of the offense.

Also supporting the notion that he is a special athlete, Burnett is dynamic on the glass, securing 7.23 rebounds per contest. Dominez possesses decent fundamentals on this end of the floor and is very aggressive boxing out and securing loose balls. He rarely gives up on plays and often leads the team's transition offense. In terms of his glaring offensive weaknesses, Burnett is a very streaky three point shooter, and has shot poorly in recent weeks. While he has hit critical long range shots with the game on the line (see the end of the Northwestern Ohio contest), Burnett is connecting on a very poor 25.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc. His mechanics will likely have to improve at the next level, given his low release point. With all of that said, he shot 38.7% from 3pt range a year ago; therein, I believe that his poor 25.0% clip is likely not sustainable. On the defensive end, Burnett is a very unique talent with outstanding hands and the athleticism to contribute as a help defender. While he has played inside in zone situations, Burnett thrives as a man-to-man defender, and is more than capable of defending at the next level, given his good lateral quickness. While his play in the zone will likely not translate at a higher level, his quickness to the ball and innate anticipation suggest that this will be a significant strength.  All in all, Dominez Burnett is one of the more complete players on both sides of the ball and is making a name for himself nationally. 


Lawrence Jackson - Emboldened by Davenport's #3 ranking nationally, Jackson was unflappable in his matchup with NAIA DII's top talent, despite coming off of a pesky facial injury which forced him to wear a mask for the first time. It should be noted that players often have to adjust to the feel of the mask, which impacts one's shooting touch and overall rhythm. Throughout the contest, it was clear that Jackson was having difficulty seeing/tracking down the ball due to the nature of his orbital injury. While Jackson had difficulty adjusting early on, clanging several forced jump shots off of brush screens, he eventually found his groove from the floor. Lawrence's greatest asset is his jump shot, and he regularly connects from the midrange, rising up and scoring over the top of opposing defenses. Jackson's range extends out beyond the three point line, and he is shooting a solid 40.8% from beyond the arc. Also, Jackson possesses a fairly quick release and a high release point. In terms of his role in the Northwestern Ohio offense, Jackson is particularly effective with the ball in his hands and needs only a little daylight to get his shot off. While his shot selection was questionable at times, he was clearly his team's go to option, and handled the ball on most of his team's possessions (even calling plays as a lead guard on occasion)

In terms of his limitations, given Jackson's status as a jump shooter, he rarely gets to the line, averaging a mere three FTA per contest (with 0 against Davenport). In stark contrast to Burnett, Jackson struggles finishing through contact at the rim and often has his shot altered despite his good size (for this level) at 6'4. He will need to diversify his game in this respect if he hopes to land a contract at a more competitive level of play. With that said, Jackson is a strong defensive rebounder, and is willing to fight amongst the trees. In addition, given that the ball ran through him much of the Davenport game, Jackson proved to be a capable passer, setting up his teammates in pick and roll scenarios and executing the prettiest lefty wrap around (whipped) pass of the contest. Defensively, Jackson has good anticipation and solid hands - posting 2.5 steals per game. All in all, Jackson must continue to diversify his offensive game, while proving that he can defend the best players at his level.   


[Images courtesy of mlive.com (Burnett) and unohracers.com (Jackson)]